Grasshopper vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
12º
11º
10
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
10 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 38 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 22 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
11% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
89% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCL
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
GCZ
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
GCZ
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 1
SCA
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
GCZ
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
ULM
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
GÓR
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |