Grasse vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 0
GRA
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
HYE
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
PAU
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NIC
3 - 1
STA
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NIC
1 - 2
FRE
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NIC
3 - 2
TAR
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 1
BER
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |