Grasse vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
GRA
64%
22%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
BOR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
3 - 0
GRA
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NIC
4 - 0
BOR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 2
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FEU
2 - 1
NIC
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |