Grasse vs ES Pennoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
AGD
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
FEU
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 1
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
AND
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 2
GRA
57%
23%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
FEU
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 3
ESP
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 2
AND
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 2
ESP
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |