Grasse vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MOA
0 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
FRE
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAI
3 - 3
GRA
23%
27%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
RVA
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 0
GRA
44%
28%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AUB
3 - 0
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MGG
0 - 0
AUB
39%
28%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 2
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 0
AUB
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 1
MOA
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |