Grasse vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
GRA
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FEU
1 - 1
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
VAU
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
2 - 0
AUB
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
4 - 1
VAU
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AGD
0 - 1
AUB
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 6
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
AUB
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |