GRAP vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
76%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 2
UDL
6%
13%
81%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 0
GRA
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 2
CAR
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIT
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
MAR
37%
23%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |