Granville vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 3
GRA
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 2
SAI
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
GRA
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
VIT
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
QUC
1 - 1
GRA
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ALE
3 - 4
ROU
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CON
4 - 3
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 2
GUI
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 2
ALE
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
ALE
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |