Granville vs Montagnarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 0
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
BRE
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
GRA
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DIN
2 - 2
GRA
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
STA
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LAV
2 - 1
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
LAN
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |