Granville vs Mantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
VIT
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 2
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STA
3 - 1
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
VIE
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 2
STA
29%
29%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FON
2 - 0
MAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 0
CHA
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LMU
1 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
LOR
19%
25%
56%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |