Granville vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
14º
4º
20
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
USB
0 - 0
GRA
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 1
DIN
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
GRA
43%
27%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
GRA
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 4
BLO
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 3
AUB
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
GUI
68%
21%
12%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
LOR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 0
GUI
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
EVR
1 - 3
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |