Granville vs Bastia-Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
14º
4º
30
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
GRA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
USB
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 1
VOL
61%
21%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
AUB
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia-Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FBB
2 - 0
AUB
55%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
STA
3 - 1
FBB
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 0
LOR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
FBB
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 2
AFV
67%
18%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |