Gränichen vs Ostermundigen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 3
MOU
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 4
GRA
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
WOH
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 0
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LAN
6 - 1
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ostermundigen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
5 - 1
OST
70%
16%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
OST
0 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
8 - 1
OST
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
OST
2 - 1
BER
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 1
OST
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |