Gränichen vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
60.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
OLT
5 - 0
GRA
67%
17%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
SCH
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FCK
3 - 1
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 4
BAS
27%
23%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
LER
5 - 2
BAS
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DUL
5 - 3
LER
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
DUR
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
LER
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LER
2 - 1
WOH
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |