Gränichen vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCK
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
DUL
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 1
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
MOU
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
6 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DUL
0 - 5
LAN
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 1
DUR
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 1
LAN
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
WOH
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |