Gränichen vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 3
BUM
34%
23%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALL
6 - 0
GRA
30%
23%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
OST
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 3
MOU
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
3 - 1
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 3
AAR
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
2 - 0
BER
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AAR
5 - 0
BUM
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |