Grande-Synthe vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
77.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 3
GRA
62%
21%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
GRA
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OLU
3 - 3
GRA
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -3 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 2
GRA
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
AUX
0 - 0
ASN
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 1
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VAU
1 - 3
ASN
6%
12%
82%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 0
PFC
47%
28%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |