Grande-Synthe vs Ailly Sur Somme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AUL
0 - 2
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
5 - 0
NOI
56%
25%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRA
31%
27%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 0
BOU
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 0
GRA
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AIL
0 - 1
LIL
26%
23%
52%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SML
2 - 0
AIL
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AIL
2 - 0
IVR
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AIL
1 - 1
AUL
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOI
3 - 1
AIL
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |