Grande-Synthe vs Ailly Sur Somme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IRI
0 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 2
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ESW
2 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AIL
1 - 3
BOU
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 1
AIL
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 2
GRA
22%
24%
55%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AIL
0 - 0
FEI
14%
20%
65%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AMI
3 - 1
AIL
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |