Grand Canyon vs Air Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand Canyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
GCU
2 - 0
SUR
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GCU
2 - 1
NLV
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 5
GCU
7%
14%
79%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CBL
1 - 3
GCU
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GCU
1 - 0
UIW
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
RGV
0 - 1
AFF
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 2
AFF
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 2
AFF
6%
13%
82%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CBL
1 - 4
AFF
49%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
AFF
3 - 1
UIW
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |