Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-5
Granada vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
VAL
3 - 1
GRA
57%
21%
23%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
GRA
0 - 3
ESP
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
PON
1 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
GRA
2 - 1
ELC
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
VAL
3 - 1
GRA
57%
21%
23%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
CAS
1 - 2
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAD
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
REC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |