Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
Granada vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
GRA
4 - 0
OVI
48%
21%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
GRA
75%
14%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
MAL
2 - 4
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
34%
22%
44%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
RSO
2 - 5
VCF
28%
21%
51%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
VCF
6 - 1
RSO
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
VCF
2 - 1
ELC
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 4
VCF
18%
19%
63%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
VCF
3 - 1
RMA
60%
20%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |