Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-6
Granada vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
CCF
2 - 0
GRA
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
GET
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
CCF
1 - 1
GRA
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
VCF
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 0
CEL
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SEV
0 - 0
EIB
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 0
RIJ
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 1
SEV
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SEV
5 - 1
SAB
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |