Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Granada vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ZAR
2 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1977 |
GRA
5 - 1
RUN
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 1
CCF
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RUN
1 - 0
GRA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TER
2 - 0
GRA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 0
UDL
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
ELC
1 - 2
SEV
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
HER
2 - 2
SEV
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |