Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-4
Granada vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
3 - 3
GRA
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
GRA
5 - 2
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
GRA
62%
18%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRA
76%
14%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
3 - 3
GRA
43%
23%
34%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 2
JFC
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
VAD
2 - 1
SDC
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 1
SDC
51%
23%
27%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |