Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-2
Granada vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1967 |
GRA
1 - 1
SAB
55%
21%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
SAB
1 - 1
GRA
73%
15%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1967 |
GRA
3 - 2
VAL
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
VAL
3 - 1
GRA
57%
21%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1967 |
GRA
1 - 1
SAB
55%
21%
23%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
SAB
1 - 1
GRA
73%
15%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
SAB
3 - 1
RSO
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
RSO
0 - 2
SAB
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
RMA
5 - 0
SAB
85%
11%
5%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |