Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Granada vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
REC
1 - 0
GRA
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
GRA
1 - 0
VCF
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
BET
3 - 2
GRA
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
GRA
3 - 4
RMA
16%
21%
63%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
RSO
1 - 0
GRA
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
REC
1 - 0
GRA
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
REC
0 - 1
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CAD
3 - 0
REC
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1960 |
REC
2 - 1
SSC
57%
21%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
REC
2 - 1
RAY
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |