Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-2
Granada vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 1
CCF
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RUN
1 - 0
GRA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TER
2 - 0
GRA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
GRA
4 - 1
VAD
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
CEL
2 - 0
GRA
58%
26%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
RUN
1 - 0
TRJ
58%
26%
17%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RUN
1 - 0
GRA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
MIR
1 - 0
RUN
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
CDO
1 - 0
RUN
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
RUN
3 - 1
TUD
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |