Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-2
Granada vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 1
GRA
70%
15%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
GRA
1 - 2
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
HER
0 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1945 |
ATM
1 - 1
GRA
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
GRA
3 - 1
SEV
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
RSO
2 - 1
BET
68%
16%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
RSO
3 - 0
DEP
68%
17%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
RSO
3 - 1
CON
71%
16%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
RCF
1 - 1
RSO
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |