Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-1
Granada vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
GRA
75%
14%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
MAL
2 - 4
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
34%
22%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
GRA
75%
14%
12%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1942 |
OVI
2 - 1
SPO
78%
12%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
OVI
3 - 1
SPO
77%
13%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SPO
3 - 1
OVI
40%
21%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
DEP
1 - 0
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |