Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-6
Granada vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
71.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 0
SFE
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
REC
4 - 0
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
0 - 1
MUR
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
GRA
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
GRA
0 - 0
UDL
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
23%
23%
54%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
RMA
5 - 2
MLL
91%
7%
3%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
OSA
1 - 1
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
RMA
1 - 0
CCF
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |