Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-0
Granada vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
GRA
2 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
3 - 3
GRA
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
GRA
5 - 2
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
GRA
62%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
BET
1 - 4
RMA
33%
24%
44%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
RMA
4 - 2
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
68%
16%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ATH
1 - 2
RMA
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |