Granada vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
GRA
0 - 1
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CPC
1 - 3
GRA
52%
22%
27%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
GRA
2 - 0
ALC
60%
21%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 3
GRA
67%
17%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 2
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 0
ATB
64%
19%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 3
RJA
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
MEL
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
MUR
1 - 3
MEL
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
18%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |