Granada vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1951 |
PUL
4 - 0
GRA
59%
20%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
GRA
2 - 1
BAL
64%
19%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1951 |
CAT
5 - 1
GRA
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
GRA
3 - 2
SLA
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
GRA
0 - 0
VAL
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
MEL
2 - 1
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
CAR
6 - 3
MEL
62%
18%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
UDL
3 - 2
MEL
75%
14%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
MEL
3 - 2
RCD
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MLL
4 - 2
MEL
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |