Granada vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 0
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
CAS
0 - 2
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
GRA
1 - 2
RCD
72%
15%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 3
BAL
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
GRA
8 - 1
LEV
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
HER
2 - 2
RCD
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1950 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
56%
19%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
HER
1 - 2
ALC
46%
22%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
ALC
4 - 1
HER
57%
19%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
HER
1 - 2
PUL
81%
12%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |