Granada vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
RSO
5 - 1
GRA
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
5 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
MAL
5 - 0
GRA
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
48%
21%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
RAC
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
48%
21%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |