Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 1-1
Granada vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
CEL
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
REC
0 - 0
GRA
47%
27%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 3
ELC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 0
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ELC
3 - 1
VAD
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
VAD
1 - 0
ELC
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ELC
4 - 1
XER
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 3
ELC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 2
ELC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |