Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 9-6
Granada vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
OSA
2 - 1
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
GRA
2 - 0
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SPO
0 - 1
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
GRA
0 - 3
RMA
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 0
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
CDT
0 - 3
ELC
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ELC
2 - 1
MUR
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
ELC
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ELC
4 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
EXT
1 - 1
ELC
59%
20%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |