Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 8-1
Granada vs Melilla Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 3
ZAR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
CCF
1 - 1
GRA
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melilla Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CDR
1 - 1
IME
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
IME
3 - 1
EST
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
MOT
3 - 0
IME
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
IME
0 - 2
RJA
30%
30%
40%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
AGD
3 - 0
IME
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |