Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Granada vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
MAL
1 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1969 |
GRA
1 - 0
SAB
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
GRA
3 - 0
SAB
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
SAB
3 - 0
GRA
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
ATH
3 - 1
DEP
72%
16%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
DEP
0 - 0
ATH
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
GRA
1 - 0
ATH
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |