Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
Granada vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRA
22%
28%
50%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ROC
0 - 1
GRA
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
GRA
4 - 1
VAN
77%
17%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
AGD
1 - 0
SEV
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
JER
0 - 0
AGD
39%
30%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 0
AGD
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
LAN
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |