Recreativo Granada vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
18º
6º
9
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
8 | 69 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 67 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 59 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 45 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 40 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 36 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 33 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 32 |
18º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 40% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 4
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
MAL
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
XER
2 - 1
UCA
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
XER
2 - 0
BAL
21%
27%
52%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
JER
0 - 3
XER
13%
21%
65%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
XER
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
XER
11 - 0
CLU
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |