Segunda RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 3-1
Recreativo Granada vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 3
UFC
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 2
GRA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 1
BET
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SRQ
1 - 2
GRA
40%
29%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
YEC
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
AVI
3 - 0
GER
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GER
0 - 0
AVI
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
32%
28%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 1
ZAM
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |