Recreativo Granada vs Linares Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
18º
16º
31
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 56 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 55 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 49 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 31 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 55.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
GRA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 3
AGU
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ORI
3 - 0
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
CAD
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Linares Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 2
XER
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
LIN
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
LIN
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 1
ORI
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |