Recreativo Granada vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
18º
6º
7
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
8 | 69 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 67 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 59 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 45 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 40 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 36 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 33 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 32 |
18º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 1
GRA
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
LAU
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
XER
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
LIN
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALM
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
BAL
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 2
ALM
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |