Gran Valencia vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
6 - 2
GVA
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
0 - 1
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TAC
0 - 0
GVA
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
2 - 1
MON
13%
25%
63%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GVA
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
ARA
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
MET
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ARA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
TAC
25%
30%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |