Gran Peña vs Cambados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 0
VIL
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PON
0 - 0
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 2
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
4 - 4
UMI
40%
24%
37%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 2
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cambados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
CAM
45%
23%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
UMI
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
CAM
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAM
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 2
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |