Gran Peña vs Villalonga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PON
0 - 0
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 2
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
4 - 4
UMI
40%
24%
37%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 2
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ARN
1 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villalonga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEL
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UMI
0 - 1
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAM
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PON
3 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 6
PON
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -2 |