Gran Peña vs Verín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PON
3 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
CDV
79%
13%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RIB
1 - 1
GRA
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 0
CEL
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MOA
1 - 3
GRA
9%
19%
72%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Verín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VER
1 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VER
2 - 0
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PSC
0 - 4
VER
13%
20%
68%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |