Gran Peña vs Umia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 2
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ARN
1 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GRA
4 - 1
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
3 - 2
VEL
37%
25%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
UMI
4 - 2
BEL
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 3
UMI
17%
21%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UMI
2 - 1
CAS
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 1
UMI
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UMI
1 - 0
ZAC
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |